Senators shoot past Oilers

Hockey Betting Lines

02/21/2007 - Ottawa, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Dean McAmmond was credited with the game-winning goal in the shootout and the Ottawa Senators escaped a late rally to defeat the Edmonton Oilers, 4-3, at Scotiabank Place.

Dany Heatley, Mike Fisher and Daniel Alfredsson scored in regulation for Ottawa, which relinquished a 3-1 lead with under five minutes remaining in regulation but used the extra periods to win their fifth straight game overall. Martin Gerber made 27 saves for the Senators, who will now face Buffalo in a home-and-home series that begins on Thursday in New York.

Petr Sykora scored twice and Tom Gilbert's first career goal tied the contest with 19.8 seconds to play for slumping Edmonton, which remained winless (0-2-2) on its current seven-game road trip that will continue in Columbus on Thursday. Jussi Markkanen allowed three goals on 34 shots in the loss.

After the Oilers tied the game in the waning seconds of the third period, a furious overtime saw quality scoring chances for both teams but the goaltenders stopped all nine shots taken.

Both McAmmond and Mike Comrie then scored in the shootout as Gerber stopped all of Edmonton's attempts to seal the win.

When Ottawa defenseman Chris Phillips was whistled for hooking only 25 seconds into the final period, the Oilers went to work with the man advantage and cut their deficit to 2-1 at the 1:34 mark. After several shots missed the net, the puck made its way back to the right point, where Sykora corralled the puck, drifted into the high slot and unleased a slap shot that lit the lamp with the help of a screen by Ryan Smyth.

Alfredsson's 20th goal with 7:43 remaining in regulation restored Ottawa's two-goal edge. On a 3-on-2 rush, Mike Fisher skated down the slot and passed into the left circle for Peter Schaefer, who stopped and spotted a cutting Alfredsson, who followed his initial shot and backhanded home the rebound.

The Sens appeared in control and on their way to victory, but a mistake by Chris Kelly gave the Oilers hope. Kelly committed the cardinal sin in hockey -- a cross-ice pass from deep in his own zone -- and the disc was deflected by Raffi Torres and sat in the low slot. Sykora was all alone and beat Gerber with a wrist shot to bring Edmonton within 3-2 with 4:12 remaining in regulation.

Inside the final minute, the Oilers pulled Markkanen for the extra skater and it paid off when Gilbert scored his first career goal during a flurry at the top of the crease.

Ottawa dominated the first period and created many scoring chances that Markkanen turned aside. Within the first three minutes of the game, with the Senators buzzing in their offensive zone, referee Chris Lee waived off what appeared to be Ottawa's first goal. During a scramble in front of the net, the puck crossed the goal off an errant stick but Antoine Vermette was in the crease and the tally was nullified.

Two minutes later, Kelly was all alone in the slot, but his wrist shot was gloved by Markkanen. Another key stop was made with 6:50 remaining in the first when Vermette's shot from near the left post was denied.

Heatley finally put the Sens on the scoreboard at the 14:44 mark. An attempted dump-in by Ottawa from the blue line deflected of the skate of Ales Hemsky and the disc caromed high into the air before it landed on the left side near the top of the circle. Heatley gained control and lit the lamp with a sharp- angle wrister from beneath the left circle for his 33rd goal of the season.

The second period saw Edmonton win more battles along the boards and the visitors outshot the Senators 9-8 in the stanza, but the hosts tallied the only goal when Fisher scored his 13th with 7:40 remaining from Alfredsson and Phillips.

The Oilers nearly cut their deficit in half with 1:45 to play before the second intermission, but Smyth's one-timer from the top of the right circle missed the net by inches.

Game Notes

Ottawa starting goaltender Ray Emery served the final of his three-game suspension and is expected to return to the lineup on Thursday. He was punished for a slash on Montreal's Maxim Lapierre on February 10...Senators coach Bryan Murray notched his 600th career win and joined a select group of only four other coaches who have reached that plateau: Scotty Bowman, Al Arbour, Dick Irvin and Pat Quinn...The Oilers ended 1-for-3 on the power play and held Ottawa scoreless on its two chances with the extra skater.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.