Cardinals cruise behind Carpenter to top flailing Phils

Baseball Betting Lines

07/20/2010 - St. Louis, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Chris Carpenter allowed just one run in eight strong innings, and the St. Louis Cardinals defeated the struggling Philadelphia Phillies, 7-1, in the second of four games at Busch Stadium.

Carpenter (11-3) yielded just five hits and a walk while fanning four, helping the Cardinals win their seventh straight game. Matt Holliday launched a three- run homer, while Randy Winn added a two-run shot in the victory.

It is the first seven-game win streak for St. Louis since July 7-16, 2006.

Jayson Werth and Placido Polanco each had two hits for the Phillies, who have lost five of six to begin the second half and lost their starting pitcher due to injury. Jamie Moyer pitched only one inning before being removed due to a left elbow strain; the severity of the injury is unclear thus far.

Andrew Carpenter (0-1) relieved Moyer and gave up three runs in three innings to receive the loss.

The Cardinals got to the Phillies rookie hurler in the third, when Felipe Lopez singled leading off and Winn followed with a blast to the right-field seats for a 2-0 lead.

Yadier Molina doubled and scored on a wild pitch in the fourth to extend St. Louis' lead, and the hosts broke the game open in the fifth.

Danys Baez came on to pitch for the Phillies and walked both Winn and Albert Pujols before surrendering a three-run homer to Holliday, putting the Cards ahead, 6-0.

St. Louis' Carpenter dominated, allowing only three hits and a walk through the first six innings, but the Phillies finally got on the board via back-to- back doubles from Werth and Shane Victorino in the seventh.

The Phillies, however, did not threaten the rest of the way, and Winn's RBI single in the eighth accounted for the final margin.

Game Notes

One day after receiving the loss in Monday's series opener, Phillies pitcher Kyle Kendrick was demoted to Triple-A Lehigh Valley, prompting the recall of Andrew Carpenter...The Cardinals are 38-21 in games started by Chris Carpenter, Jaime Garcia and Adam Wainwright. Garcia and Wainwright are scheduled to start the final two games of this series...The Phillies have dropped nine of their last 11 road games...The season series is tied, 3-3...Winn, who also homered on Monday, went deep in consecutive games for the first time since September 25-26, 2007.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.